241 | What's Happening in Italy Now?

We catch up again with Lucia Rubinelli to discuss the latest developments in Italy.  With anger against the EU on the rise and regional divisions getting more acute, can the Italian government hold it together?  What is Salvini up to?  And will the technocrats try another take over?  Plus Lucia tells us what lockdown has been like for her.

238 | Nate Silver

David and Helen talk to 538's Nate Silver about how to read the pandemic data and what they mean for politics.  What do we know now that we didn't know six weeks ago?  How should we model the future trajectory of the disease?  Where does it leave the election in November?  A conversation about everything from death rates to spring breaks, and from Belgium to Biden.

235 | Can America Cope?

David, Helen and Gary Gerstle discuss the impact of the pandemic on the fundamentals of American politics.  What have we discovered about the strengths and weaknesses of the federal system?  Are the states capable of learning from each other?  What part will the Supreme Court play?  And can the Democrats really persist with Biden?  Plus we ask who has the 'police power' and what it means to use it.

228 | Adam Tooze Part 2

We catch up with Adam on the latest twists in the crisis: from the ECB's change of heart to new threats in emerging markets.  What is happening in Germany?  How vulnerable is the UK?  Can anything shake the hold of the almighty dollar?  Much more in the weeks to come.

225 | Superforecasting

We talk to David Spiegelhalter, Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, about the science of forecasting.  Who or what are the superforecasters?  How can they help governments make better decisions?  And will intelligent machines ever be able to outdo the humans at seeing into the future?   From Cummings to coronavirus, a conversation about the knowns, unknowns and what lies beyond that.

224 | Super Tuesday Special: Biden's Back!

A special live edition recorded on the morning after Super Tuesday: we try to make sense of where the Democratic race now stands. How did Biden pull it off?  Is there a path back for Sanders?  And what role was Obama playing behind the scenes?  Plus we ask which strategy now makes sense for the general election and whether Trump has got the candidate he wants or the one he fears.  With Helen Thompson and Gary Gerstle, recorded at the McCrum Lecture Theatre in Cambridge.